Deadspin NFL Over / Under the Week of the week: Bearing down on this under


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Illustration of an article titled Deadspin NFL Over / Under Bet of the Week: Bing down on this under

Draw: (Getty Images)

Chicago Bears in the Carolina Panthers

Above under: 45

Starting: 1:00 PM ET

TV: Fox

Across the league, games are seeing a rise in the totals set by odds makers, which is understandable with the overheating.

At the same time, this leaves some competition ready for selection as it relates to a lower score with an unnecessarily increase / less. Take today’s match in Carolina, for example.

First of all, the best player on both sides, Christian McCaffrey, will not be dressed for the fourth week in a row. This means that this meeting will usually draw at least one or two points higher (tied to the McCaffrey value), specifically in the range 46-47 – and that doesn’t have to be the case.

These are not explosive crimes that can trade your results in the least amount of time. After Mitchell Tropisky is seated, the Bears go with Nick Falls at QB; A man who might have the Super Bowl MVP nod on his resume but he’s also a skilled professional. So is Teddy Bridgewater, the writer of the Panthers.

Bridgewater’s involvement is another major reason to examine this bet closely. Because Saints QB1 last year while Drew Brees was injured, Bridgewater faced the same Chicago team (this particular Sunday last year, actually) … and it was over / under 37.5. So basically, odds makers are saying it’s Bridgewater’s current crime – without its main star! Is more than just a landing better than the permanent explosive array in New Orleans?

Again, this should not be.

In the first season of his $ 63 million three-year deal with Carolina, Bridgewater deserves sprays for his good performance, scoring the top career marks so far in achievement ratio (73.0), yards per game (286.8), Yards Per Bid (8.1). He has also been backed by impressive play from new teammate Robbie Anderson.

But is there a pullback during McCaffrey’s exit? at all. Yes, Mike Davis has worked admirably with CMC on the sidelines, but I don’t see it continuing, or at least as fast as he was going. Davis is in his sixth season now with barely more than 1,000 yards on the ground – throughout his NFL career.

With today’s potentially ineffective impulse attack, that could definitely limit Bridgewater’s performance if the bears were expecting a pass further. As it stands, they give the second lowest pass rating (77.1) to the midfield opponent in all football. They’ll also get a boost in efforts to limit the running game from Davis’ acquaintance after he was with the club last year.

Chicago boasts the league’s # 1 red zone defense, allowing opponents to land there on only 36.84 percent of flights (7 out of 19). Such a trend could be very critical for less than when faced with a foul that the biggest playmaker would not show up in. In general, bears give up only 20 points per match, the fourth lowest number Of all 32 teams.

The Panthers are not far behind in defensive scoring, with opponents managing to gain just 23.6 points each week. The focus is on “only” in the NFL today, where nearly half of the league was hit significantly for over 28 points on average.

Carolina’s striking weakness on the defensive side of the ball was their inability to stop the run, as they were wounded weekly 133.4 yards on the ground. However, they will draw a running game weak to tangle within That is, Chicago is ranked sixth from below with 95.4 lunge yards per game. Despite his noise, David Montgomery uh does not arouse fear in opposing the defenses.

The cracks in the quarterback should not be as well. Even though the bears sit 4-1, it really wasn’t because of the Trubisky-to-Foles switch. The Philadelphia Eagles legend accumulates fewer yards per throw (6.0 to 6.5) and a lower rating (83.9 to 87.4) than its predecessor, and if this continues, Chicago should continue to be an idle crime.

The five Bears matches were determined with a combined total of 21 points. I’ll be looking for more of the same here, which indicates less activity on the scoreboard. Bet: Under 45 (-110)

Record: 3-2, +0.8 units

last week: Raiders – over 54 bosses (wins)

* Each bet is ranked as if it were to win 1 unit


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